The Canada Brief

Economy · 8 d ago

Bank of Canada building

Bank of Canada - Banque du Canada from Canada · CC BY 2.0 · Wikimedia Commons

Bank of Canada now expected to raise its key rate this week

Market odds of a rate hike

78 % (nearly)

Financial market odds of a hike stood at nearly 78 per cent on Friday afternoon.

What we know

  • Rate held at 2.25% for seven meetings
  • Inflation hit 3.1% in September
  • RBC expects a quarter-point hike

Not yet

  • Hike now, or a set-up for Dec or Jan

Inflation reached 3.1 per cent in September, and the economy lost 68,000 jobs.

Governor Tiff Macklem warned that high energy prices will push up the inflation outlook. RBC economists say they have very low conviction on a hike this week.