The Canada Brief

Economy · 13 d ago

Bank of Canada head office, Ottawa

Bank of Canada - Banque du Canada from Canada · CC BY 2.0 · Wikimedia Commons

Economists expect the Bank of Canada to raise rates next week

Key interest rate

2.25 %

The Bank of Canada's key rate has been 2.25 per cent since October 2025. A hike would be the first in more than three years.

Tiff Macklem, governor of the Bank of Canada

Bank of Canada - Banque du Canada from Canada · CC BY 2.0 · Wikimedia Commons

Governor Tiff Macklem said the inflation outlook will be "quite a bit higher" than in July's forecast. Inflation was 3.1 per cent in September, mainly because of gas prices.

"The Bank of Canada is really trying to get ahead of higher inflation, higher underlying inflation, which we haven't materially seen yet, but to prevent it from happening."

— Randall Bartlett, Desjardins deputy chief economist

And us?

Oct

28

Wednesday

Ottawa

Economists at Scotiabank, Desjardins and BMO expect a 0.25-point hike, which would raise costs on variable-rate mortgages and some car, tuition and business loans. The decision comes on Oct 28.